Politics
2026 Midterms Predictions
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$8M Vol.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31 78%
October 31 75%
$298M Vol.
$88M Vol.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket?
Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where users trade on the real-world outcomes of events across Politics and many other topics.
What is a Politics prediction market?
A Politics prediction market lets users trade Yes or No shares on a specific question tied to Politics-related events, such as "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms".
What topics can I trade on in the Politics category?
The Politics category hosts 1.6K markets covering a wide range of subjects. Popular subcategories include Midterms, Trump, and Primaries.
How do Politics odds on Polymarket work?
Every Politics market on Polymarket has outcomes priced between 0¢ and 100¢. That price is the implied probability of the outcome occurring.
Which Politics markets are most active right now?
Activity is constantly shifting, but you can sort the page by 24-hour volume to see where trading is concentrated.
How are Politics prediction markets resolved?
Each Politics market has a clearly defined resolution source and criteria published on the market page.
Why do Politics odds change so often?
Politics markets respond in real time to news, announcements, and data releases.
How many Politics markets are on Polymarket?
Polymarket currently lists 1.6K markets in the Politics category.
Can I trade on future Politics events before they happen?
Yes. Most Politics markets are designed to let users trade well ahead of the underlying event.
Are Polymarket's Politics odds more accurate than polls or forecasts?
Prediction markets and traditional forecasts, such as polls, models, or analyst estimates, are complementary tools.
How do I start trading Politics markets on Polymarket?
You can browse the Politics page to see active markets and then trade Yes or No shares once your account is funded.
What moves Politics prediction market prices?
Politics markets are driven by the same catalysts that move the underlying real-world story: official announcements, scheduled events and deadlines, data and reporting, and major news.
Where can I see live Politics odds and trading volume?
Every market card on Politics pages displays the current implied probability for each outcome along with 24-hour or cumulative trading volume.