Finance

Current Prediction Markets

• Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

  1% chance

  • Yes
  • No
    $824K Vol.

• What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?

  • ↓ $80
    68%
  • Yes
  • No
    $4M Vol.

• SpaceX IPO: Opening Share Price

  • $150-$200
    99%
  • Yes
  • No
    $527K Vol.

• How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

  • 0 (0 bps)
    78%
  • Yes
  • No
    $34M Vol.

• SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

  • 2.0T+
    96%
  • Yes
  • No
    $2M Vol.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where users trade on the real-world outcomes of events across Finance and many other topics. Prices are quoted from 0 to 100 cents and reflect the implied probability that an event will occur.

What is a Finance prediction market?

A Finance prediction market lets users trade Yes or No shares on a specific question tied to Finance-related events.

How do Finance odds on Polymarket work?

Every Finance market on Polymarket has outcomes priced between 0¢ and 100¢. That price is the implied probability of the outcome occurring.

How are Finance prediction markets resolved?

Each Finance market has a clearly defined resolution source and criteria that outlines how it will resolve when the event concludes.

Why do Finance odds change so often?

Finance markets respond in real time to news, announcements, data releases, and policy shifts.