SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$0123456789.012345678901234567890123456789T

0123456789

Polymarket

$13,441,842 Vol.

1H1D1W1MMax

$13,441,842 Vol.

Dec 31, 2027

1H6H1D1W1MALL

+ $8

$4T

$669,211 Vol.

Buy Yes1.1¢Buy No99.0¢

$3.8T

$202,667 Vol.

Buy Yes1.4¢Buy No99.3¢

$3.6T

$156,093 Vol.

Buy Yes2.4¢Buy No98.5¢

$3.4T

$197,455 Vol.

Buy Yes2.6¢Buy No97.6¢

$3.2T

$504,369 Vol.

Buy Yes4.2¢Buy No98.0¢

$3T

$2,191,208 Vol.

Buy Yes5¢Buy No96¢

$2.8T

$620,228 Vol.

Buy Yes9¢Buy No92¢

$2.6T

$880,614 Vol.

20%

Buy Yes20¢Buy No81¢

$2.4T

$1,299,371 Vol.

29%

Buy Yes29¢Buy No72¢

$2.2T

$890,121 Vol.

56%

Buy Yes56¢Buy No45¢

$2T

$1,604,818 Vol.

80%

Buy Yes80¢Buy No21¢

$1.8T

$1,406,818 Vol.

93%

Buy Yes93¢Buy No8¢

$1.6T

$793,840 Vol.

97%

0123456789

Buy Yes96.9¢Buy No3.2¢

$1.4T

$597,814 Vol.

99%

0123456789

Buy Yes99.0¢Buy No1.6¢

$1.2T

$618,191 Vol.

99%

0123456789

Buy Yes99.5¢Buy No0.6¢

$1T

$957,651 Vol.

100%

0123456789

Buy Yes99.7¢Buy No0.4¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.SpaceX priced its record IPO at $135 per share on June 11, 2026, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and raising $75 billion in new shares alone—the largest U.S. listing ever. Strong institutional demand exceeding $250 billion, combined with Starlink’s revenue growth to roughly $18 billion in 2025 and the recent xAI acquisition, underpin trader expectations for a first-day close near or above the offering level. Key swing factors include retail allocation dynamics, broader market sentiment on AI and space infrastructure plays, and any immediate post-listing volatility typical of mega-cap debuts. The Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12 sets the immediate resolution window for closing market cap thresholds.

Rules

Market Context

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Volume

$13,441,842

End Date

Dec 31, 2027

Market Opened

May 19, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Propose resolution

SpaceX priced its record IPO at $135 per share on June 11, 2026, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and raising $75 billion in new shares alone—the largest U.S. listing ever. Strong institutional demand exceeding $250 billion, combined with Starlink’s revenue growth to roughly $18 billion in 2025 and the recent xAI acquisition, underpin trader expectations for a first-day close near or above the offering level. Key swing factors include retail allocation dynamics, broader market sentiment on AI and space infrastructure plays, and any immediate post-listing volatility typical of mega-cap debuts. The Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX on June 12 sets the immediate resolution window for closing market cap thresholds.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated Jun 12, 2026, 10:30 AM EDT

Jun 11 2026

SpaceX finalizes IPO price at $135, largest stock market debut ever

$1.8T jumps to 99%9%

SpaceX confirmed its IPO price and share count, setting the stage for its Nasdaq debut with a valuation around $1.75 trillion, reinforcing market confidence and driving probabilities for high valuation outcomes.

Jun 11 2026

SpaceX Prices Historic IPO at $135 as Retail Orders Top $100 Billion

$2.2T drops to 49%8%

SpaceX officially locked in its IPO price at $135 per share on the eve of its trading debut, backed by unprecedented retail demand that shattered previous records.

Jun 11 2026

SpaceX prices record $75 billion IPO at $135 per share, valuing company at $1.77 trillion

$2T surges to 99%21%

SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share, raising $75 billion and setting a valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion, the largest IPO ever. This pricing confirmed market expectations and drove the closing market cap probabilities near certainty for above $1 trillion.

Jun 9 2026

SpaceX IPO Draws Over $250 Billion in Investor Demand

$2.4T drops to 25%11%

Sources reported that investor demand for SpaceX's IPO approached four times oversubscription, reaching over $250 billion ahead of the scheduled pricing date.

Jun 5 2026

SpaceX IPO oversubscribed with $150 billion in investor demand

$1.8T jumps to 89%11%

Reports indicated that SpaceX's IPO was oversubscribed by about two times, with $150 billion in demand for $75 billion of shares. This strong demand reflected high market enthusiasm and supported elevated valuation probabilities.

Jun 5 2026

Google announces $11 billion investment in SpaceX ahead of IPO

$1.8T jumps to 73%11%

Google disclosed an $11 billion investment in SpaceX just one week before the expected IPO trading debut, boosting strategic investor confidence and likely supporting the company's valuation near the $1.75 trillion target.

Jun 4 2026

SpaceX IPO roadshow begins with strong investor demand

$1.6T surges to 42%19%

SpaceX commenced its IPO roadshow, with reports of insatiable investor demand and high engagement from analysts and institutional investors. This strong demand supported the high valuation and increased confidence in a successful IPO at or above the targeted $1.75 trillion valuation.

Jun 4 2026

SpaceX begins IPO roadshow amid strong investor demand

$1.6T rises to 95%3%

SpaceX launched its IPO roadshow to market shares to institutional and retail investors, with reports of insatiable demand and oversubscription. The roadshow reinforced confidence in the IPO's success and valuation.

Jun 4 2026

SpaceX Kicks Off IPO Roadshow and Launches Dedicated Investor Website

$1.6T dips to 91%4%

SpaceX officially launched its investor roadshow, releasing its presentation and opening share access to retail investors through Fidelity, solidifying the mid-June listing timeline.

Jun 4 2026

Market prices SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1 trillion with high confidence

$1T rises to 94%1%

Prediction markets show a 93.5% probability that SpaceX's IPO closing market cap will exceed $1 trillion, reflecting strong market consensus on the IPO's success and valuation, driven by the company's financial disclosures and IPO pricing.

Jun 4 2026

SpaceX IPO roadshow begins, retail investors gain access via Fidelity

$2.2T jumps to 99%5%

SpaceX launched its IPO roadshow and opened share access to retail investors with low account minimums, increasing demand and market confidence ahead of the June 12 Nasdaq listing.

Jun 3 2026

SpaceX Sets Fixed IPO Price at $135 Per Share, Valuing Firm at $1.77 Trillion

$2.4T plunges to 28%23%

In an unusual move, SpaceX bypassed the traditional pricing range to set a fixed price of $135 per share, targeting a record-setting $75 billion raise.

Jun 3 2026

SpaceX Sets Fixed IPO Price at $135 per Share Targeting $1.77T Valuation

$1.8T drops to 81%9%

SpaceX announced it would fix its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record-setting $75 billion, implying an initial valuation of $1.77 trillion.

Jun 3 2026

SpaceX Plans to Fix IPO Price at $135 Per Share

In an unusual move, SpaceX announced plans to set a fixed IPO price of $135 per share, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion ahead of its roadshow.

Jun 3 2026

SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation

$2T jumps to 92%13%

Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. This pricing confirmed the market's valuation expectations and IPO schedule.

Jun 3 2026

SpaceX Sets Fixed IPO Price at $135 Per Share Targeting $1.77 Trillion Valuation

$2T drops to 64%13%

SpaceX filed an updated prospectus fixing its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion. This fixed price implied an initial valuation of $1.77 trillion, causing the probability of outcomes above $1.8T and $2T to drop slightly as the target solidified below those thresholds.

Jun 3 2026

SpaceX Plans to Fix IPO Price at $135 Per Share to Raise Record $75 Billion

$2T surges to 76%19%

Reports emerged that SpaceX bypassed the traditional price range discovery process, setting a fixed IPO price of $135 per share to target a $1.77 trillion initial valuation.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion

$1.6T jumps to 90%11%

SpaceX announced its IPO price at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation and a $75 billion raise, marking the largest U.S. IPO ever and confirming market expectations for a high valuation.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX sets fixed IPO price at $135 per share targeting $1.77 trillion valuation

$1.4T jumps to 97%12%

SpaceX announced a fixed IPO price of $135 per share, aiming to raise $75 billion and valuing the company at approximately $1.77 trillion. This unusual move bypassed the typical price range process and solidified market expectations for the IPO valuation.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX Targets $1.75 Trillion Valuation in All-Primary Offering

Sources revealed that SpaceX is targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation for its upcoming IPO, structured entirely as an all-primary offering.

Jun 2 2026

Reuters reports SpaceX targets $1.75 trillion valuation in all-primary IPO

$1.8T surges to 85%15%

Reuters reported that SpaceX plans an all-primary IPO to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, with no existing shareholders selling shares. This news reinforced the market's high valuation expectations and IPO timing.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX Plans to Fix IPO Price at $135 Per Share, Targeting $1.8 Trillion Valuation

$2.2T drops to 63%10%

Reports emerged that SpaceX plans to set its IPO price at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion, settling its valuation target at approximately $1.8 trillion. This adjustment caused a sharp drop in the highest-tier brackets as the valuation settled near the $1.8T floor.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share, targeting $1.77 trillion valuation

$2T jumps to 94%6%

Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share to raise $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion, the largest IPO ever, reinforcing market optimism and pushing valuation probabilities higher.

Jun 2 2026

Reports indicate SpaceX lowers IPO valuation target to at least $1.8 trillion

$1.8T jumps to 85%11%

Bloomberg reported that SpaceX adjusted its IPO valuation target downward from above $2 trillion to at least $1.8 trillion, reflecting investor and advisor feedback. This tempered some market expectations but maintained a high valuation outlook.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX Plans to Set IPO Price at $135 Per Share to Raise Record $75 Billion

$2T jumps to 79%12%

Reports emerged that SpaceX plans to fix its IPO price at $135 per share, targeting a record-setting $75 billion raise and implying an initial valuation of $1.75 trillion to $1.77 trillion.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX Targets $1.75 Trillion Valuation in All-Primary IPO Structure

$2T jumps to 82%10%

Sources revealed that SpaceX plans to target a $1.75 trillion valuation in an all-primary offering, meaning all proceeds will go directly to the company.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX Plans to Fix IPO Price at $135 per Share to Raise Record $75 Billion

$2.4T drops to 50%9%

Reports emerged that SpaceX decided to fix its IPO price at $135 per share, targeting a $1.77 trillion valuation. This anchored expectations firmly below the $2.2T and $2.4T marks, causing those outcomes to drop.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX sets IPO price at $135 per share targeting $75 billion raise

$1.4T surges to 75%38%

Ahead of its investor roadshow, SpaceX fixed its IPO price at $135 per share, aiming to raise a record $75 billion and valuing the company at approximately $1.75 trillion. This pricing confirmed market expectations and drove prediction markets to price high probabilities for valuations above $1 trillion.

Jun 2 2026

SpaceX Targets $1.75 Trillion Valuation in All-Primary IPO

$2.2T jumps to 66%8%

Sources revealed SpaceX plans to target a $1.75 trillion valuation in its blockbuster IPO, consisting entirely of newly issued shares.

May 25 2026

SpaceX sets IPO date for June 12, targeting $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise

$1.4T surges to 78%36%

SpaceX announced its IPO pricing date and valuation target, confirming expectations for the largest IPO in history. This announcement boosted market confidence and increased probabilities for higher valuation brackets.

May 22 2026

SpaceX Launches Starship V3 Demonstrating Critical Booster Recovery Progress

$2.2T jumps to 63%7%

SpaceX successfully executed its 12th test flight featuring the Starship V3 vehicle. The flight demonstrated booster recovery progress critical for reducing launch costs and supporting future orbital data centers.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Files S-1 Prospectus for Historic Nasdaq IPO Under Ticker SPCX

$2T jumps to 77%5%

SpaceX officially made its S-1 registration statement public, detailing its business segments, financial performance, and plans to list on the Nasdaq.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Publicly Files S-1 Prospectus for Blockbuster Nasdaq IPO

SpaceX officially unveiled its public S-1 filing, revealing financial details including $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue and its strategic focus on AI integration.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Publicly Files Form S-1 for Nasdaq IPO Under Ticker SPCX

$1.6T rises to 96%4%

SpaceX transitioned its IPO process to the public regulatory stage by filing its Form S-1 with the SEC, revealing financial details including $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Publicly Files S-1 Prospectus Revealing Financials and June 12 Target

$1.6T jumps to 91%7%

SpaceX officially made its S-1 registration statement public, confirming its plans to list on the Nasdaq under ticker SPCX on June 12, 2026.

May 20 2026

SpaceX publicly files S-1 prospectus for June IPO

$1.8T surges to 90%17%

SpaceX made its S-1 prospectus public, confirming a Nasdaq listing targeted for mid-June under ticker SPCX, with $18.67 billion 2025 revenue and plans for a $1.75 trillion valuation, solidifying market expectations.

May 20 2026

SpaceX files IPO prospectus targeting $1.75 trillion valuation

$1.6T jumps to 90%11%

The IPO prospectus was filed publicly, outlining $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and ambitious growth plans. This disclosure reinforced market optimism, pushing prediction market prices for valuations above $1.6 trillion and $1.75 trillion higher.

May 20 2026

SpaceX publicly files S-1 revealing $18.7B 2025 revenue and 18,712 BTC holdings

$2T surges to 63%17%

The public S-1 filing disclosed SpaceX's 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion, a net loss of about $4.9 billion, and Bitcoin holdings of 18,712 BTC, providing transparency that boosted market confidence and valuation expectations ahead of the IPO.

May 20 2026

SpaceX files IPO prospectus confirming $1.6 trillion valuation target by June 30

The IPO prospectus release provided detailed financials including $18.7 billion 2025 revenue and plans for Starlink and AI expansion, reinforcing market expectations for a valuation above $1.6 trillion. This transparency boosted confidence and supported high prediction market prices for outcomes above $1.6 trillion.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Files Public S-1 Prospectus for Blockbuster Nasdaq IPO

$1.8T jumps to 85%13%

SpaceX officially filed its Form S-1 with the SEC, revealing its financial details, including a $4.94 billion net loss for 2025 alongside massive AI infrastructure investments.

May 20 2026

SpaceX IPO prospectus reveals $1.6 trillion valuation target and $18.7 billion 2025 revenue

$1.6T jumps to 90%12%

The IPO prospectus filing disclosed detailed financials including $18.7 billion revenue and a $1.6 trillion valuation target, reinforcing market confidence and pushing probabilities higher for valuations above $1.6 trillion.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Makes S-1 Prospectus Public Revealing $18.7 Billion Revenue

$2T rises to 71%1%

SpaceX officially made its S-1 filing public, disclosing $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue alongside a $4.94 billion net loss driven by Starship and xAI integration.

May 20 2026

SpaceX publicly files S-1 prospectus revealing $18.67B 2025 revenue and $4.94B net loss

$1.2T surges to 86%34%

The public S-1 filing provided detailed financials, showing strong revenue growth led by Starlink but also significant net losses due to xAI integration and Starship development. This transparency influenced investor valuation models and market pricing.

May 20 2026

SpaceX makes S-1 filing public, confirms $18.7B 2025 revenue and $4.9B net loss

SpaceX publicly filed its S-1 prospectus revealing $18.7 billion revenue in 2025 and a net loss of $4.9 billion, highlighting the profitable Starlink segment and costly AI investments, which shaped investor valuation expectations ahead of the IPO.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Files Public S-1 Prospectus Detailing $18.7 Billion Revenue and xAI Integration

$2T surges to 71%17%

SpaceX's public S-1 filing confirmed its accelerated June 2026 Nasdaq listing plans under ticker SPCX. The prospectus revealed strong Starlink growth alongside heavy AI-related losses from the xAI merger, anchoring trader consensus around the $2 trillion mark.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Officially Files S-1 Prospectus Disclosing Financials and Nasdaq Ticker SPCX

$1.8T rises to 83%1%

SpaceX filed its public S-1 prospectus with the SEC, revealing $18.67 billion in 2025 revenue alongside a $4.94 billion net loss. The filing confirmed plans to list on Nasdaq under the ticker SPCX, driving high-tier market cap probabilities to near-certainty.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Files S-1 Prospectus with SEC Targeting June Nasdaq IPO

$1.8T jumps to 85%7%

SpaceX officially filed its S-1 registration statement with the SEC, outlining plans to list on the Nasdaq under ticker SPCX with a target valuation of $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion.

May 20 2026

SpaceX Unveils Public S-1 Prospectus Disclosing Financials and AI Losses

$1.8T jumps to 85%6%

SpaceX made its S-1 filing public, revealing $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue alongside a $4.9 billion net loss driven by heavy AI infrastructure investments.

May 19 2026

SpaceX reveals Bitcoin holdings of $637 million ahead of IPO

$1.8T jumps to 90%11%

Ahead of its IPO, SpaceX disclosed holding 8,285 bitcoins valued at approximately $637 million, highlighting a unique treasury asset that could influence investor perception and add a crypto dimension to the company's valuation.

May 19 2026

SpaceX reveals Bitcoin holdings of 18,712 BTC in IPO filing

$1.6T rises to 81%4%

SpaceX disclosed holding 18,712 bitcoins valued at approximately $637 million in its IPO filing, providing investors insight into its non-traditional assets and financial strategy, which influenced market valuation perceptions.

May 18 2026

Synthetic SpaceX Pre-IPO Perpetual Futures Launch on Hyperliquid

$2.2T jumps to 57%10%

Trade.xyz launched synthetic perpetual contracts for SpaceX on Hyperliquid, allowing retail traders to speculate on the company's pre-IPO valuation.

May 18 2026

Hyperliquid Launches Synthetic Pre-IPO Perpetual Futures for SpaceX

$2.2T jumps to 61%7%

Trade.xyz launched the SPCX-USDC synthetic perpetual contract on Hyperliquid, allowing retail traders to speculate on SpaceX's valuation prior to the official Nasdaq listing.

May 18 2026

Launch of SPCX synthetic perpetual futures contract on Hyperliquid

Hyperliquid launched a synthetic perpetual futures contract tracking SpaceX's pre-IPO valuation, initially pricing at $150 per share, reflecting a $1.78 trillion market cap and providing retail traders access to SpaceX valuation speculation.

May 18 2026

Hyperliquid Launches SPCX Synthetic Perpetual Futures Tracking SpaceX Pre-IPO Valuation

$2T jumps to 77%9%

The launch of SPCX-USDC synthetic perpetual futures on Hyperliquid allowed retail traders to speculate on SpaceX's valuation, with the contract quickly rising to imply a valuation above the official target.

May 18 2026

Trade.xyz Launches Synthetic SpaceX Pre-IPO Perpetual Futures

On-chain derivatives platform Trade.xyz launched synthetic perpetual trading for SpaceX, allowing retail traders to speculate on its valuation prior to the official listing.

May 18 2026

Hyperliquid Launches Synthetic Pre-IPO Trading for SpaceX

$1.8T jumps to 82%7%

Trade.xyz launched SPCX-USDC synthetic perpetual futures on Hyperliquid, allowing retail traders to speculate on SpaceX's valuation, which quickly surged to imply a market cap above $1.78 trillion.

May 18 2026

SpaceX prepares IPO prospectus release and investor roadshow

$1.6T rises to 77%3%

Industry rumors indicated SpaceX would publish its IPO prospectus imminently and start investor roadshows in early June, coinciding with Starship launch milestones. This fueled market anticipation and price volatility in the closing market cap predictions.

May 15 2026

SpaceX Accelerates IPO Timeline, Targeting June 12 Listing on Nasdaq

$1.8T rises to 83%4%

Sources revealed that SpaceX moved up its IPO timeline to as early as June 12, 2026, following a faster-than-expected SEC review of its paperwork.

May 15 2026

SpaceX Approves 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Accelerated IPO Timeline

$1.2T rises to 95%3%

SpaceX confirmed a board-approved 5-for-1 stock split, reducing the share price from $526 to $105 to make the upcoming IPO more accessible to retail investors.

May 15 2026

SpaceX Confirms 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Nasdaq Listing

$1.8T rises to 83%4%

SpaceX approved a 5-for-1 stock split, reducing its share price from $526 to $105 to make the upcoming IPO more accessible to retail investors.

May 15 2026

SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline targeting June 12 Nasdaq listing

$1.6T surges to 74%26%

Reports confirmed SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline with a Nasdaq debut planned for June 12, 2026, under ticker SPCX, aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. This accelerated schedule increased market confidence in the IPO's near-term execution.

May 15 2026

SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline, targets June 12 Nasdaq listing

$1.8T surges to 43%29%

SpaceX accelerated its IPO timeline with plans to list on Nasdaq as early as June 12, 2026, reinforcing market expectations for a near-term public debut and supporting higher valuation pricing in prediction markets.

May 15 2026

SpaceX Confirms 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of IPO

SpaceX approved a 5-for-1 stock split, reducing its share price from $526 to $105 to make shares more accessible to retail investors.

May 15 2026

SpaceX accelerates IPO timeline, targets June 12 Nasdaq listing

Reports confirmed SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline with a Nasdaq listing targeted as early as June 12, 2026, increasing market certainty about the IPO date and supporting higher valuation expectations in prediction markets.

May 14 2026

Cerebras Soars 68% in Nasdaq Debut Boosting AI IPO Sentiment

AI chipmaker Cerebras surged in its public debut, closing with a market cap of $95 billion and fueling investor excitement for upcoming tech and AI-related IPOs like SpaceX.

May 5 2026

SpaceX IPO Details Emerge Pointing to $2 Trillion Valuation and $75 Billion Raise

$2T jumps to 70%10%

Reports circulated that SpaceX was targeting a total valuation of up to $2 trillion, aiming to raise $75 billion in what would be the largest IPO in history.

May 4 2026

SpaceX Executes 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Nasdaq Listing

$1.8T jumps to 81%7%

SpaceX executed a 5-for-1 stock split to retroactively adjust all per-share figures in its upcoming public S-1 prospectus.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX Files Confidential IPO Seeking $1.75 Trillion Valuation

SpaceX confidentially filed for an Initial Public Offering with the SEC, targeting a valuation of $1.75 trillion and aiming for a June listing.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC for IPO

SpaceX submitted its confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming IPO plans targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a June 2026 Nasdaq listing. This filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO timing and valuation, driving up prediction market prices across valuation brackets.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX Files Confidentially with SEC Targeting Up to $2 Trillion Valuation

$1.8T jumps to 18%8%

SpaceX submitted its confidential S-1 filing to the SEC, aiming for a historic public offering valued between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion. This concrete step toward listing immediately re-rated the probability of higher valuation brackets.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX Files Confidential Draft Registration for Historic IPO

$1.8T jumps to 53%6%

SpaceX submitted a confidential S-1 draft registration with the SEC, targeting an initial public offering valuation of $1.75 trillion to $2.0 trillion.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX confidentially files for IPO targeting $1.75–2 trillion valuation

SpaceX filed confidentially with the SEC, signaling its intent for a historic IPO with a valuation range of $1.75 to $2 trillion, anchoring market expectations and initiating pre-IPO trading activity.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX submits confidential draft registration statement to SEC

SpaceX filed a confidential draft registration statement with the SEC, confirming plans for a June 2026 IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation. This filing significantly increased market confidence in the IPO's timing and valuation.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC for IPO

$1.4T surges to 73%21%

SpaceX submitted its confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming IPO plans and targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation, which significantly boosted market expectations for the IPO's timing and valuation.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX submits confidential IPO filing to SEC targeting $1.75 trillion valuation

SpaceX filed its confidential draft registration statement with the SEC, signaling its intent to go public with a record-breaking valuation and capital raise. This filing confirmed the IPO's reality and set the stage for market anticipation and pricing discussions.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX confidentially files for IPO targeting $1.75 trillion valuation

SpaceX submitted a confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, signaling preparation for an IPO potentially as early as June 2026, with a target valuation of $1.75 trillion and a $50–75 billion raise, fueling investor excitement.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX Files Confidential IPO with SEC Targeting $1.75 Trillion Valuation

$1.8T jumps to 27%11%

SpaceX submitted confidential draft registration documents to the SEC, aiming for a historic June listing with a target valuation of $1.75 trillion and a capital raise of up to $75 billion.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX Files Confidential IPO Paperwork with SEC Targeting $1.75 Trillion Valuation

$1.6T surges to 74%26%

SpaceX submitted a confidential draft registration with the SEC, initiating the formal process for a historic Nasdaq listing targeted for June with an expected valuation of $1.75 trillion.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX Files Confidentially with SEC Targeting Up to $2 Trillion Valuation

$1.4T jumps to 91%8%

SpaceX submitted a confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, officially targeting a valuation of $1.75 trillion to $2 trillion for its historic public offering.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX confidentially files draft registration statement with SEC for IPO

$1.6T surges to 86%38%

SpaceX submitted a confidential draft registration statement to the SEC, confirming IPO plans targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a June 2026 Nasdaq listing. This filing significantly increased market confidence and raised valuation expectations across all brackets.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX confidentially files for IPO targeting $1.75 trillion valuation

$1.6T jumps to 59%11%

SpaceX submitted a confidential SEC filing indicating plans for an IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and raising up to $75 billion, intensifying market speculation and price gains.

Apr 1 2026

SpaceX Submits Confidential Draft Registration Statement to SEC for IPO

$1.4T rises to 91%3%

SpaceX filed confidential paperwork with the SEC to prepare for its historic initial public offering, targeting a valuation of up to $1.75 trillion. This milestone solidified expectations of a public listing occurring before the 2027 deadline.

Feb 15 2026

SpaceX Merges with xAI in All-Stock Deal Valued at $250 Billion

$1.4T surges to 73%21%

SpaceX acquired Elon Musk's artificial intelligence startup xAI in an all-stock merger, transforming the rocket manufacturer into an aerospace and AI powerhouse and significantly boosting its valuation expectations.

Feb 15 2026

SpaceX Consolidates Operations Through All-Stock Merger with Elon Musk's xAI

$2T surges to 47%27%

SpaceX completed an all-stock merger with xAI in February 2026, transforming the rocket maker into a combined space and AI powerhouse. This merger significantly boosted the company's implied valuation, driving up probabilities for higher market cap brackets.

Feb 3 2026

SpaceX and xAI Complete Merger at $1.25 Trillion Combined Valuation

$1.2T surges to 84%18%

SpaceX completed its acquisition of Elon Musk's artificial intelligence venture, xAI, in an all-stock transaction. This merger significantly boosted the combined entity's private valuation to $1.25 trillion, driving up the market probabilities for higher-tier market cap outcomes.

Feb 2 2026

SpaceX merges with xAI, combined valuation reaches $1.25 trillion

$1.2T jumps to 66%14%

SpaceX merged with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, creating a combined entity valued at approximately $1.25 trillion. This merger expanded the company's business scope and significantly increased its valuation ahead of the IPO.

Feb 2 2026

SpaceX Completes Merger with Elon Musk's Artificial Intelligence Venture xAI

$1.2T surges to 81%15%

SpaceX completed an all-stock merger with xAI, establishing a combined baseline valuation of approximately $1.25 trillion and expanding its exposure to orbital AI infrastructure.

Feb 2 2026

SpaceX merges with xAI, boosting valuation to $1.25 trillion

$1.2T surges to 72%20%

The merger with Elon Musk's AI company xAI increased SpaceX's valuation to $1.25 trillion, expanding its business scope and raising investor expectations ahead of the IPO.

Jan 28 2026

Reports emerge of SpaceX targeting $1.5 trillion valuation for June 2026 IPO

$1.4T surges to 52%22%

Financial Times and other outlets reported SpaceX's plans for a June 2026 IPO with a $1.5 trillion valuation target, raising expectations for a record-breaking public offering and influencing market pricing upward.

Jan 28 2026

Reports emerge of SpaceX targeting June 2026 IPO at $1.5 trillion valuation

$1.2T jumps to 52%11%

Financial Times and other major outlets reported SpaceX's plans for a June 2026 IPO with a $1.5 trillion valuation target, raising market confidence in a large-scale public offering.

Jan 28 2026

Financial Times reports SpaceX eyes June 2026 IPO at $1.5 trillion valuation

$1.4T jumps to 46%9%

The Financial Times reported that SpaceX is targeting a June 2026 IPO with a valuation of about $1.5 trillion, reinforcing market expectations for a large and high-value offering.

Jan 28 2026

Financial Times reports SpaceX targets June 2026 IPO at $1.5 trillion valuation

$1.4T surges to 52%22%

Reports emerged that SpaceX was planning an IPO in June 2026 with a valuation around $1.5 trillion, raising expectations for a historic public offering and driving market optimism for higher valuation brackets.

Dec 13 2025

SpaceX sets $800 billion valuation in insider share sale ahead of 2026 IPO plans

$1T jumps to 57%12%

SpaceX announced an insider share sale valuing the company at about $800 billion, signaling strong private market confidence and setting the stage for a potential 2026 IPO. This valuation milestone increased market expectations for a high IPO valuation.

Dec 13 2025

SpaceX internal tender offer values company at $800 billion

$1T jumps to 57%12%

SpaceX approved an internal tender offer allowing investors to buy shares at $421 each, valuing the company at approximately $800 billion. This event set a new private market valuation floor and increased market expectations for a 2026 IPO.

Dec 12 2025

SpaceX valued at $800 billion in private tender offer

$1T jumps to 57%12%

A private tender offer in December 2025 valued SpaceX at approximately $800 billion, signaling strong private market confidence and setting a high baseline for the upcoming IPO valuation. This valuation helped anchor market expectations for a public offering above $1 trillion.

Comments (131)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Post

Beware of external links.

Newest Holders

Beware of external links.

Grindb0rn 1.4K >$3.2T

25m ago

Bloomberg reports that grey-market pricing implies SpaceX may trade at roughly a 29% premium to its issue price.

bung 909 >$1T

35m ago

Big open then down only

sp1k 162 >$1.4T

46m ago

where can i see ipo price movement

1 Replies

CIAReaper 2.0K >$1T

41m ago

@sp1k

Wait 5 min, it hasn't started trading

ThisIsFinee 2.2K >$2.2T

52m ago

📈📉📈📉📈📉📉📉📉📉📉

Trim-Brick 2.1K >$1.8T

1h ago

I thought investors were going to be rational. It’s going to pump today then fall in the next coming weeks. I’ll probably lose my bets 😅

ahhhhhhhhhhhh 210 >$2T

1h ago

Counts down 5 4 3 2 1 letss pump itttt!!

eooaaa 5 >$3.8T

3h ago

4.0

LoveSGP 4.6K >$3.6T

3h ago

3.6

TheVeiledOne 1.7K >$1.4T

3h ago

Go down

gurfeu 1 >$1.8T

4h ago

below the correct

Show more comments

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" prediction market?

"SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">$1T" at 100%, followed by ">$1.2T" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

How much trading activity has "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" generated on Polymarket?

As of today, "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" has generated $13.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

How do I trade on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?"?

To trade on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

What are the current odds for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?"?

The current frontrunner for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" is ">$1T" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">$1.2T" at 99%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

How will "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" be resolved?

The resolution rules for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Can I follow "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" without placing a trade?

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Why are Polymarket's odds for "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" considered reliable?

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $13.4 million traded on “SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

How do I start trading on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?"?

To place your first trade on "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

What does a price of 100¢ for ">$1T" mean?

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for ">$1T" in the "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that ">$1T" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

When does the "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" market close?

The "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Dec 30, 2027 — that's roughly over 1 year away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

What are traders saying about "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?"?

The "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?" market has an active community of 131 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

What is Polymarket?

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?>$4T·Yes

Buy

Sell

Market

Yes0123456789.0123456789¢No01234567890123456789.0123456789¢

Amount

+$1+$5+$10+$100

Trade

By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use.